COVID-19 forecasting models predict deadly weeks ahead for Massachusetts

BOSTON — Forecasting models predicting how current conditions will shape the future of the new coronavirus outbreak shows troubling numbers over the coming weeks in Massachusetts.

Most importantly, the forecasting models have shown increased numbers of deaths in the state compared to previous models.

Each of three forecasting programs, from The University of Washington, Los Alamos National Laboratory and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, now predict a sharp rise in the number of deaths in Massachusetts by June, with two forecasting that COVID-19 will kill up to a cumulative total of 11,000 residents in the next six to seven weeks.

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